Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.613348e-05 0.000103 0.000120 0.000141 0.000163 0.000187 0.000214
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.298554e-05 0.000084 0.000108 0.000137 0.000171 0.000209 0.000253
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.070291e-05 0.000073 0.000101 0.000135 0.000176 0.000223 0.000281
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.946745e-05 0.000063 0.000092 0.000131 0.000179 0.000235 0.000305
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.308915e-05 0.000057 0.000088 0.000131 0.000184 0.000249 0.000331
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.783319e-05 0.000052 0.000085 0.000131 0.000191 0.000265 0.000359
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.327614e-05 0.000047 0.000081 0.000130 0.000195 0.000276 0.000382
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.809298e-05 0.000041 0.000075 0.000125 0.000194 0.000281 0.000395
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.543694e-05 0.000038 0.000072 0.000126 0.000199 0.000294 0.000420
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.154579e-05 0.000032 0.000066 0.000119 0.000195 0.000294 0.000428
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.003972e-05 0.000030 0.000065 0.000121 0.000202 0.000309 0.000455
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.043890e-06 0.000027 0.000062 0.000119 0.000204 0.000317 0.000472
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.610595e-06 0.000025 0.000061 0.000121 0.000213 0.000336 0.000506
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.904575e-06 0.000022 0.000057 0.000120 0.000216 0.000347 0.000532
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.408104e-06 0.000019 0.000053 0.000117 0.000216 0.000354 0.000550
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.304516e-06 0.000016 0.000050 0.000114 0.000217 0.000362 0.000570
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.597105e-06 0.000014 0.000047 0.000113 0.000220 0.000373 0.000594
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.170280e-06 0.000013 0.000046 0.000114 0.000227 0.000389 0.000625
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 7.386632e-07 0.000012 0.000044 0.000113 0.000229 0.000399 0.000648
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.592479e-07 0.000009 0.000040 0.000108 0.000226 0.000401 0.000660
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.078280e-07 0.000008 0.000039 0.000108 0.000231 0.000414 0.000687
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.594949e-08 0.000007 0.000035 0.000103 0.000226 0.000413 0.000694
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.449937e-08 0.000006 0.000035 0.000105 0.000233 0.000429 0.000726